Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 10.042557 11.470287 13.036748 14.884260 17.005470 19.366845 22.197947
2025-12-14 8.043042 9.893324 12.083401 14.871837 18.335259 22.505515 27.923090
2025-12-21 6.815336 8.832362 11.351114 14.737027 19.185122 24.850774 32.649393
2025-12-28 6.194093 8.381945 11.238136 15.255474 20.786527 28.172105 38.846552
2026-01-04 5.662452 7.954560 11.064287 15.613866 22.139325 31.220191 44.919781
2026-01-11 5.279060 7.669190 11.026068 16.114726 23.688495 34.630460 51.794505
2026-01-18 4.709748 7.049158 10.437435 15.738876 23.894650 36.079622 55.875757
2026-01-25 4.260068 6.554143 9.972638 15.480691 24.218800 37.688397 60.300485
2026-02-01 3.877809 6.120898 9.553179 15.237137 24.517429 39.248427 64.751959
2026-02-08 3.543570 5.729238 9.157817 14.983853 24.757333 40.706465 69.135857
2026-02-15 3.250399 5.375596 8.788460 14.730914 24.958982 42.094368 73.497933
2026-02-22 3.157297 5.340897 8.930664 15.335473 26.646745 46.103555 82.771841
2026-03-01 2.996316 5.180948 8.855107 15.568059 27.724960 49.182669 90.744018
2026-03-08 2.806220 4.954266 8.645848 15.544827 28.341258 51.490951 97.519768
2026-03-15 2.616350 4.711286 8.386388 15.404102 28.721537 53.387769 103.678686
2026-03-22 2.546470 4.677983 8.495824 15.946964 30.418571 57.871893 115.295361
2026-03-29 2.457122 4.600724 8.517242 16.322268 31.821795 61.908616 126.408187
2026-04-05 2.393585 4.566185 8.613688 16.846787 33.557456 66.737573 139.616542
2026-04-12 2.219143 4.304986 8.259452 16.453180 33.414838 67.788724 144.967213
2026-04-19 2.074312 4.090511 7.978918 16.182807 33.496911 69.296677 151.433995
2026-04-26 1.943083 3.893132 7.716974 15.927763 33.585604 70.817887 158.065741
2026-05-03 1.821183 3.705542 7.460589 15.662538 33.627106 72.235128 164.590560
2026-05-10 1.708757 3.529189 7.214086 15.397683 33.644492 73.595214 171.106834